The Travelers Companies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TRV Stock  USD 266.04  0.62  0.23%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding The Travelers Companies is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell The Travelers Companies given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Travelers Companies. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for The Travelers Companies, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Travelers Companies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Travelers and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. The Travelers Companies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Travelers Companies Buy or Sell Advice

The Travelers recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on The Travelers Companies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in The Travelers Companies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Travelers Companies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Travelers CompaniesBuy Travelers Companies
Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon The Travelers Companies has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1308, Jensen Alpha of 0.1431, Total Risk Alpha of (0.02), Sortino Ratio of 0.1046 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2728
Macroaxis provides recommendation on The Travelers Companies to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on The Travelers Companies. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure The Travelers Companies is not overpriced, please validate all Travelers Companies fundamentals, including its price to earning, book value per share, five year return, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that The Travelers Companies has a price to earning of 13.69 X, we advise you to double-check The Travelers Companies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Travelers Companies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The Travelers Companies has 8.03 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.37, which is OK given its current industry classification. The Travelers Companies has a current ratio of 0.33, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Travelers to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Travelers Companies has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 85.0% of Travelers Companies shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investors.com: Disposition of 4000 shares by David Rowland of Travelers Companies at 118.78 subject to Rule 16b-3

Travelers Companies Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Travelers Companies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Travelers Companies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Travelers Companies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use The Travelers Companies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Travelers Companies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Travelers Companies.
Mean Return
0.28
Value At Risk
-2.17
Potential Upside
1.93
Standard Deviation
1.70
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Travelers Companies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Travelers Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Travelers Companies, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading The Travelers Companies back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
3.1 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
2.4 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
2.3 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
2.2 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
M
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
1.8 M
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-06-30
1.6 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
1.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
21.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
20.2 M
Note, although Travelers Companies' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Travelers Companies Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash29M121M227M40M(149M)(141.6M)
Free Cash Flow5.2B6.5B7.3B7.3B7.7B8.1B
Depreciation803M763M789M870M722M549.8M
Other Non Cash Items535M129M3.9B3.9B6.8B7.2B
Dividends Paid814M844M861M869M(908M)(862.6M)
Net Income2.5B2.6B2.7B3.7B3.0B2.0B
End Period Cash Flow373M494M721M761M650M682.5M
Investments(1.8B)(3.9B)(4.9B)(3.7B)(6.8B)(7.2B)
Change Receivables(227M)(68M)(359M)(533M)(479.7M)(455.7M)
Change To Netincome138M(32M)(352M)(273M)(245.7M)(233.4M)

Travelers Companies Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Travelers Companies or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Travelers Companies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Travelers stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.99
σ
Overall volatility
1.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Travelers Companies Volatility Alert

The Travelers Companies has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.76 and kurtosis of 10.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Travelers Companies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Travelers Companies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Travelers Companies Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Travelers Companies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Travelers Companies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Travelers Companies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Travelers Companies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Travelers Companies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Travelers Companies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Travelers Companies to competition
FundamentalsTravelers CompaniesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.19-0.31
Return On Asset0.0293-0.14
Profit Margin0.10 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.14 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation67.8 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding227.02 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.24 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions85.40 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.86 M4.71 M
Price To Earning13.69 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.19 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.33 X11.42 X
Revenue41.36 B9.43 B
Gross Profit8.52 B27.38 B
EBITDA4.47 B3.9 B
Net Income2.99 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents4.7 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share20.06 X5.01 X
Total Debt8.03 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.37 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.34 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share122.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations7.71 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.09 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share19.47 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.92 X4.89 X
Target Price264.58
Number Of Employees32.97 K18.84 K
Beta0.63-0.15
Market Capitalization60.4 B19.03 B
Total Asset125.98 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings45.59 B9.33 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Note: Disposition of 10000 shares by Michael Klein of Travelers Companies at 126.18 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Travelers Companies Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Travelers . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Travelers Companies Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell The Travelers Companies? Buying financial instruments such as Travelers Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Travelers Companies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Non-Metallic and Industrial Metal Mining Thematic Idea Now

Non-Metallic and Industrial Metal Mining
Non-Metallic and Industrial Metal Mining Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Non-Metallic and Industrial Metal Mining theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Non-Metallic and Industrial Metal Mining Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Travelers Stock Analysis

When running Travelers Companies' price analysis, check to measure Travelers Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Travelers Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Travelers Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Travelers Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Travelers Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Travelers Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.