Frontier Group Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ULCC Stock | USD 5.69 0.12 2.15% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Frontier Group Holdings is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Frontier Group buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ULCC positions.
Check out Frontier Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Frontier and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Frontier Group Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Frontier |
Execute Frontier Group Buy or Sell Advice
The Frontier recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Frontier Group Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Frontier Group Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Frontier Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Moderately volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Frontier Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Frontier Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Frontier Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Frontier Group Holdings currently holds 3.46 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.52, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Frontier Group Holdings has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Frontier Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 3.59 B. Net Loss for the year was (11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 325 M. | |
| Frontier Group Holdings currently holds about 766 M in cash with (261 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.52. | |
| Frontier Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 47.0% of Frontier Group outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: UBS sets Frontier Group shares at Neutral on financial improvements |
Frontier Group Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Frontier Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Frontier Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Frontier Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Frontier Group Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Frontier Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Frontier Group.
| Mean Return | 0.88 | Value At Risk | -3.98 | Potential Upside | 10.08 | Standard Deviation | 5.08 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Frontier Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Frontier Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 1.3 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 1.2 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.2 M | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 1 M | Acadian Asset Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 978.7 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 807.3 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 599 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 488.3 K | Indigo Partners Llc | 2024-09-30 | 32.1 M | Wildcat Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 28.1 M |
Frontier Group Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (18M) | (166M) | 174M | (40M) | (7M) | (6.7M) | |
| Change In Cash | 70M | (390M) | 540M | (157M) | (152M) | (144.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 109M | (573M) | 153M | (230M) | (348M) | (330.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 46M | 33M | 38M | 45M | 50M | 39.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (108M) | (26M) | (37M) | (79M) | (146M) | (138.7M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 62M | 16M | 63M | 152M | 87M | 83.6M | |
| Net Income | 251M | (225M) | (102M) | (37M) | (11M) | (10.5M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 768M | 378M | 918M | 761M | 609M | 663.2M | |
| Net Borrowings | 123M | 157M | 66M | 7M | 6.3M | 6.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 159M | 0.0 | 3M | 4M | 3.6M | 3.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | (48M) | (32M) | 1M | 14M | 16.1M | 16.9M | |
| Investments | (62M) | 11M | (67M) | (154M) | (128M) | (121.6M) |
Frontier Group Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Frontier Group or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Frontier Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Frontier stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Frontier Group Volatility Alert
Frontier Group Holdings exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Frontier Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Frontier Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Frontier Group Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Frontier Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Frontier Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Frontier Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Frontier Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Frontier Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Frontier Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Frontier Group to competition |
| Fundamentals | Frontier Group | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.011 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0346 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.1) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.93 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 225.37 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 46.98 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 52.06 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 15.31 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 2.34 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.35 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.59 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 325 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 83 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (11 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 766 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.52 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.46 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 6.52 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.62 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.44 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (261 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.51 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.03) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.35) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 6.67 | |
| Number Of Employees | 8.01 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.51 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.28 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.99 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 111 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (787 M) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 4.99 B |
Note: Disposition of 20589 shares by Rajat Khanna of Frontier Group at 5.81 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Frontier Group Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Frontier . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Frontier Group Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Frontier Group Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Frontier Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Frontier Group in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Online Gaming Thematic Idea Now
Online Gaming
Companies that are involved in the building and marketing of online gaming-related products. The Online Gaming theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Online Gaming Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Frontier Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Frontier Group. If investors know Frontier will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Frontier Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | Earnings Share (0.03) | Revenue Per Share 16.392 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of Frontier Group Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Frontier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Frontier Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Frontier Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Frontier Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Frontier Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Frontier Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Frontier Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Frontier Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.