Universal Music Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| UMGNF Stock | USD 23.80 0.15 0.63% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Universal Music Group is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Universal Music buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UMGNF positions.
Check out Universal Music Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Universal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Universal Music Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Universal |
Execute Universal Music Buy or Sell Advice
The Universal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Universal Music Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Universal Music Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Universal Music's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Universal Music Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Universal Music generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Universal Music Group has accumulated 2.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.94, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Universal Music Group has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Universal Music until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Universal Music's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Universal Music Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Universal to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Universal Music's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 48.0% of Universal Music outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Universal Music Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Universal Music's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Universal Music's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Universal Music daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Universal Music Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Universal Music returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Universal Music.
| Mean Return | -0.14 | Value At Risk | -2.84 | Potential Upside | 3.02 | Standard Deviation | 2.02 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Universal Music historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Universal Music Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Universal Music or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Universal Music's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Universal pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Universal Music Volatility Alert
Universal Music Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.25 and kurtosis of -0.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Universal Music's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Universal Music's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Universal Music Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Universal Music's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Universal Music's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Universal Music and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Universal Music or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Universal Music's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Universal Music by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Universal Music to competition |
| Fundamentals | Universal Music | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.37 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0786 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 45.93 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.81 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 48.04 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 28.91 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 35.35 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 18.64 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.58 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 8.5 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.9 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.21 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 886 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.56 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.86 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.28 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.94 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.79 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.22 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.14 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.40 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.16 X | 4.89 X |
| Number Of Employees | 9.21 K | 18.84 K |
| Market Capitalization | 45.11 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 12.09 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 11.4 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Net Asset | 12.09 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.44 |
Universal Music Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Universal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 23.8 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.8 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.075 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.15 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.38 |
About Universal Music Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Universal Music Group? Buying financial instruments such as Universal Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Universal Pink Sheet
Universal Music financial ratios help investors to determine whether Universal Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Universal with respect to the benefits of owning Universal Music security.