Vale SA (Mexico) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VALEN Stock  MXN 180.79  1.21  0.66%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vale SA is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Vale SA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Vale SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vale and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Vale SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Vale SA Buy or Sell Advice

The Vale recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vale SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vale SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vale SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vale SABuy Vale SA
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Vale SA has a Mean Deviation of 1.61, Standard Deviation of 2.25 and Variance of 5.05
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Vale SA to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Vale SA. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Vale SA is not overpriced, please validate all Vale SA fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization .

Vale SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vale SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Vale SA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vale SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vale SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vale SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vale SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vale SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vale SA.
Mean Return
-0.18
Value At Risk
-3.2
Potential Upside
4.32
Standard Deviation
2.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vale SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vale SA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vale SA or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vale SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vale stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
2.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Vale SA Volatility Alert

Vale SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.35 and kurtosis of 1.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vale SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vale SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vale SA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vale SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vale SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vale SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vale SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vale SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vale SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vale SA to competition
FundamentalsVale SAPeer Average
Return On Equity0.52-0.31
Return On Asset0.15-0.14
Profit Margin0.45 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.45 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.74 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.13 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.01 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions22.48 %39.21 %
Price To Earning387.81 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.40 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.94 X11.42 X
Revenue54.5 B9.43 B
Gross Profit176.26 B27.38 B
EBITDA34.02 B3.9 B
Net Income121.23 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.47 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.25 X5.01 X
Total Debt11.15 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity53.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.21 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share39.52 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations136.77 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share91.44 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth10.73 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees4818.84 K
Beta0.76-0.15
Market Capitalization1.59 T19.03 B
Total Asset89.44 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings8.28 B9.33 B
Working Capital20.74 B1.48 B
Current Asset61.3 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities40.57 B7.9 B
Z Score85.28.72

Vale SA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vale . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vale SA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vale SA? Buying financial instruments such as Vale Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Vale SA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Plastics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Vale Stock

Vale SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vale Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vale with respect to the benefits of owning Vale SA security.