Valiant Organics (India) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VALIANTORG   326.50  4.40  1.33%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Valiant Organics Limited is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Valiant Organics Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Valiant Organics Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Valiant Organics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Valiant and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Valiant Organics Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Valiant Organics Buy or Sell Advice

The Valiant recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Valiant Organics Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Valiant Organics Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Valiant Organics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Valiant OrganicsBuy Valiant Organics
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Valiant Organics Limited has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13), Jensen Alpha of (0.47), Total Risk Alpha of (0.67) and Treynor Ratio of (0.57)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Valiant Organics to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Valiant Organics Limited. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Valiant Organics is not overpriced, please validate all Valiant Organics fundamentals, including its book value per share, total asset, and the relationship between the ebitda and number of employees .

Valiant Organics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Valiant Organics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 7.23 B. Net Loss for the year was (83.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.42 B.
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Valiant Organics - 13 stocks from which mutual funds made complete exit in October. Do you own any - The Economic Times

Valiant Organics Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Valiant Organics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Valiant Organics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Valiant Organics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Valiant Organics Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Valiant Organics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Valiant Organics.
Mean Return
-0.4
Value At Risk
-3.68
Potential Upside
2.98
Standard Deviation
2.12
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Valiant Organics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Valiant Organics Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory30.5M(273.1M)(414.7M)(125.8M)119.9M125.9M
Change In Cash90.4M51.8M122.1M(173.0M)(42.7M)(40.6M)
Free Cash Flow(438.5M)(584.4M)(1.5B)1.0B90.7M95.2M
Depreciation154.4M212.4M296.2M291.9M349.2M366.7M
Other Non Cash Items(591.0M)(443.4M)(355.3M)(171.1M)27.3M28.6M
Dividends Paid104.7M263.6M67.9M122.2M140.5M83.6M
Capital Expenditures2.1B1.7B1.2B1.4B749.3M688.9M
Net Income1.8B1.8B1.8B1.4B(83.9M)(79.7M)
End Period Cash Flow126.8M128.3M250.5M77.5M34.8M33.1M
Investments190.7M125.0M(21.8M)(1.4B)(649.9M)(617.4M)
Net Borrowings543.5M604.2M1.5B(896.3M)(1.0B)(979.2M)
Change To Netincome10.2M32.1M287.7M273.6M314.6M330.3M

Valiant Organics Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Valiant Organics or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Valiant Organics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Valiant stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
2.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Valiant Organics Volatility Alert

Valiant Organics Limited exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.48 and kurtosis of 1.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Valiant Organics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Valiant Organics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Valiant Organics Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Valiant Organics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Valiant Organics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Valiant Organics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Valiant Organics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Valiant Organics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valiant Organics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Valiant Organics to competition
FundamentalsValiant OrganicsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0114-0.31
Return On Asset0.0015-0.14
Profit Margin(0.03) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.92 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding27.6 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders61.59 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions1.32 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.26 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.31 X11.42 X
Revenue7.23 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.42 B27.38 B
EBITDA425.75 M3.9 B
Net Income(83.91 M)570.98 M
Total Debt2.57 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share264.48 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations840 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(7.88) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees1.07 K18.84 K
Beta0.59-0.15
Market Capitalization9.11 B19.03 B
Total Asset12.48 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings5.32 B9.33 B
Working Capital(4.38 M)1.48 B
Net Asset12.48 B

Valiant Organics Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Valiant . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Valiant Organics Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Valiant Organics Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Valiant Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Valiant Organics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Insurance Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Insurance theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Insurance Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Valiant Stock Analysis

When running Valiant Organics' price analysis, check to measure Valiant Organics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valiant Organics is operating at the current time. Most of Valiant Organics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valiant Organics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valiant Organics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valiant Organics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.