Viavi Solutions Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VIAV Stock  USD 9.94  0.06  0.61%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Viavi Solutions is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Viavi Solutions given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Viavi Solutions. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Viavi Solutions, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Viavi Solutions Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Viavi Stock please use our How to Invest in Viavi Solutions guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Viavi and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Viavi Solutions. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Viavi Solutions Buy or Sell Advice

The Viavi recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Viavi Solutions. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Viavi Solutions or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Viavi Solutions' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Viavi SolutionsBuy Viavi Solutions
Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Viavi Solutions has a Mean Deviation of 1.37, Semi Deviation of 1.66, Standard Deviation of 1.92, Variance of 3.69, Downside Variance of 3.65 and Semi Variance of 2.74
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Viavi Solutions. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Viavi Solutions is not overpriced, please validate all Viavi Solutions fundamentals, including its cash per share, number of employees, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Viavi Solutions has a price to earning of 86.33 X, we advise you to double-check Viavi Solutions market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Viavi Solutions Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Viavi Solutions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1 B. Net Loss for the year was (25.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 664 M.
Viavi Solutions has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Viavis stock dips after UBS starts coverage with Neutral rating

Viavi Solutions Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Viavi Solutions' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Viavi Solutions' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Viavi Solutions daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Viavi Solutions price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Viavi Solutions returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Viavi Solutions.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-2.84
Potential Upside
3.02
Standard Deviation
1.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Viavi Solutions historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Viavi Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Viavi Solutions, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Viavi Solutions back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-06-30
4.1 M
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
3.6 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
3.3 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
3.2 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
2.7 M
Woodline Partners Lp2024-06-30
2.7 M
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2024-06-30
2.5 M
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2024-09-30
2.4 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
2.3 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
34.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
29.8 M
Note, although Viavi Solutions' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Viavi Solutions Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory3.7M(14.3M)(27.7M)(10.7M)10.5M5.7M
Change In Cash17M161M(135.6M)(57.2M)(33.8M)(32.1M)
Free Cash Flow103.7M191.2M105.6M63M96.9M101.7M
Depreciation107.8M102.3M75.4M69.5M58.7M55.8M
Other Non Cash Items(3.6M)21.2M119.4M12.8M16.8M16.0M
Capital Expenditures31.9M52.1M72.5M51.1M19.5M18.5M
Net Income28.7M46.1M15.5M25.5M(25.8M)(27.1M)
End Period Cash Flow547.4M708.4M572.8M515.6M481.8M389.4M
Dividends Paid5.5M11.3M6.3M7.9M9.1M9.5M
Change To Netincome30.8M45.9M46.1M62.4M71.8M75.3M
Investments(29.8M)(48.7M)(71M)(13.1M)(21.6M)(20.5M)
Change Receivables(5.1M)(15M)(18.3M)37.4M43.0M45.2M
Net Borrowings(1.6M)(4M)37.1M45.7M41.1M23.2M

Viavi Solutions Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Viavi Solutions or Communications Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Viavi Solutions' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Viavi stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Viavi Solutions Volatility Alert

Viavi Solutions has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.09 and kurtosis of 3.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Viavi Solutions' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Viavi Solutions' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Viavi Solutions Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Viavi Solutions' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Viavi Solutions' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Viavi Solutions and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Viavi Solutions or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Viavi Solutions' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Viavi Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Viavi Solutions to competition
FundamentalsViavi SolutionsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0543-0.31
Return On Asset0.0063-0.14
Profit Margin(0.04) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.10 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.39 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding221.81 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.47 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions94.30 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.62 M4.71 M
Price To Earning86.33 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.12 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.21 X11.42 X
Revenue1 B9.43 B
Gross Profit664 M27.38 B
EBITDA101.2 M3.9 B
Net Income(25.8 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents561.3 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.48 X5.01 X
Total Debt687.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.11 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.72 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.17 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations116.4 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.49 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.17) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.41 X4.89 X
Target Price10.35
Number Of Employees3.6 K18.84 K
Beta0.9-0.15
Market Capitalization2.19 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.74 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(69.65 B)9.33 B
Working Capital629.4 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Barnes Keith of 23529 shares of Viavi Solutions subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Viavi Solutions Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Viavi . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Viavi Solutions Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Viavi Solutions? Buying financial instruments such as Viavi Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Penny
Penny Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Penny Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Viavi Stock Analysis

When running Viavi Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Viavi Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Viavi Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Viavi Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Viavi Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Viavi Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Viavi Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.