Vital Farms Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VITL Stock | USD 33.20 0.86 2.66% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vital Farms is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Vital Farms' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Vital Farms Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to buy in Vital Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vital and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Vital Farms. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
Vital |
Execute Vital Farms Buy or Sell Advice
The Vital recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vital Farms. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vital Farms or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vital Farms' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Vital Farms Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Vital Farms had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Vital Farms has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Vital Farms Inc Shares Up 3.12 percent on Nov 27 |
Vital Farms Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vital Farms' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vital Farms' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vital Farms daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vital Farms price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vital Farms returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vital Farms.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -4.67 | Potential Upside | 3.98 | Standard Deviation | 3.19 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vital Farms historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vital Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 717.2 K | Emerald Advisers, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 706.4 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 683.6 K | Driehaus Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 682.2 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 655.8 K | Lord, Abbett & Co Llc | 2024-09-30 | 643.1 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 614.9 K | Pictet Asset Manangement Sa | 2024-06-30 | 609.2 K | Emerald Mutual Fund Advisers Trust | 2024-09-30 | 531.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M |
Vital Farms Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (9.3M) | 29K | 1.7M | (6.4M) | (5.8M) | (5.5M) | |
| Investments | (5.6M) | (77.8M) | (372K) | 528K | 22.4M | 23.5M | |
| Change In Cash | (10.5M) | 28.3M | 1.4M | 12.9M | 71.2M | 74.8M | |
| Net Borrowings | 813K | (5.6M) | (471K) | (554K) | (498.6K) | (523.5K) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (10.2M) | 1.4M | (386K) | 39.4M | 45.3M | 47.5M | |
| Depreciation | 1.9M | 2.6M | 3.5M | 12.1M | 7.9M | 4.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 572K | (131K) | 285K | 35.7M | 4.6M | 6.5M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.8M | 10.3M | 16.7M | 11.5M | 13.3M | 10.8M | |
| Net Income | 3.3M | 8.9M | 2.4M | 25.6M | 29.4M | 30.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.3M | 29.5M | 31.0M | 84.1M | 96.8M | 101.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.6M | 4.2M | 2.1M | 6.4M | 7.4M | 7.8M |
Vital Farms Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vital Farms or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vital Farms' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vital stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Vital Farms Volatility Alert
Vital Farms shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vital Farms' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vital Farms' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vital Farms Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vital Farms' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vital Farms' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vital Farms and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vital Farms or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vital Farms' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vital Farms by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vital Farms to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vital Farms | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.23 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.13 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.31 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 43.79 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 26.10 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 89.55 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 8.52 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 103.36 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.74 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.52 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 471.86 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 110.45 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 68.95 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 25.57 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 90.34 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.22 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 22.56 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.02 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.11 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.80 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 50.91 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.44 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.12 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 42.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 447 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.97 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.45 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 275.18 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 29.73 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 130.3 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 275.18 M |
Note: Disposition of 74360 shares by Diez-canseco Russell of Vital Farms at 12.81 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Vital Farms Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vital . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Vital Farms Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vital Farms? Buying financial instruments such as Vital Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Vital Farms in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Funds or Etfs that are made of portfolios of stocks, bonds, or cash instruments with different maturity horizons and characteristics. The Hybrid Mix Funds theme has 37 constituents at this time.
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Check out Vital Farms Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to buy in Vital Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vital Farms. If investors know Vital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vital Farms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.6 | Earnings Share 1.12 | Revenue Per Share 13.619 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.313 | Return On Assets 0.1254 |
The market value of Vital Farms is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vital Farms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vital Farms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vital Farms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vital Farms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vital Farms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vital Farms is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vital Farms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.