Exicure Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| XCUR Stock | USD 31.99 4.30 15.53% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Exicure is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Exicure given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Exicure. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Exicure, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Exicure Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Exicure Stock, please use our How to Invest in Exicure guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Exicure and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Exicure. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
Exicure |
Execute Exicure Buy or Sell Advice
The Exicure recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Exicure. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Exicure or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Exicure's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Exicure Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Exicure is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Exicure appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Exicure has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (16.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.06 M. | |
| Exicure currently holds about 22.2 M in cash with (10.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.47. | |
| Exicure has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Why Uxin Shares Are Trading Higher Here Are 20 Stocks Moving Premarket |
Exicure current analysts advice
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Exicure analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Exicure analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Average Consensus Strong Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.
Exicure Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Exicure's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Exicure's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Exicure daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Exicure price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Exicure returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Exicure.
| Mean Return | 5.82 | Value At Risk | -12.92 | Potential Upside | 47.72 | Standard Deviation | 21.19 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Exicure historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Exicure Stock Institutional Investors
The Exicure's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Exicure's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 63.0 | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-06-30 | 10.0 | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 0.0 | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 0.0 | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 0.0 | Virtu Financial Llc | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | Two Sigma Securities, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | The Carlyle Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 56.3 K | Northwestern University | 2024-06-30 | 52.1 K |
Exicure Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 22.2M | (14.0M) | 9.4M | (34.1M) | (7.8M) | (7.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 235K | (42.4M) | (35.8M) | (35.7M) | (10.4M) | (10.9M) | |
| Depreciation | 724K | 1.4M | 1.8M | 1.9M | 1.4M | 988.0K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 228K | 179K | 291K | 516K | 2.9M | 3.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 94K | 1.1M | 3.2M | 968K | 10K | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | (26.3M) | (24.7M) | (64.1M) | (2.6M) | (16.9M) | (17.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 48.5M | 34.5M | 43.8M | 9.8M | 2.0M | 1.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.5M | 1.9M | 3.1M | 1.4M | 1.6M | 1.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | 775K | (372K) | (2.2M) | 2.0M | 2.3M | 2.5M |
Exicure Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Exicure or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Exicure's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Exicure stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 5.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.27 |
Exicure Volatility Alert
Exicure is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Exicure's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Exicure's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Exicure Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Exicure's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Exicure's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Exicure and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Exicure or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Exicure's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Exicure by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Exicure to competition |
| Fundamentals | Exicure | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.44 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.26 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (11.93) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 63.87 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.17 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 46.70 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 4.28 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 31.09 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 37.60 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 120.30 X | 11.42 X |
| Gross Profit | 9.06 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (15.54 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (16.91 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 22.2 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.47 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 6.67 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 6.53 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.26 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.75 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (10.36 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.19 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.02) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 2.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.28 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 60.15 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 11.58 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (189.56 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (486 K) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 11.58 M |
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Miller Josh of Exicure at 2.9 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Exicure Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Exicure . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 127536.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4778 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.16 | |||
| Day Median Price | 31.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 31.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.64 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 4.3 |
About Exicure Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Exicure? Buying financial instruments such as Exicure Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Exicure Stock Analysis
When running Exicure's price analysis, check to measure Exicure's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exicure is operating at the current time. Most of Exicure's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exicure's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exicure's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exicure to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.