American Eagle Stock Forecast - Daily Balance Of Power
| AEO Stock | USD 17.65 0.05 0.28% |
American Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although American Eagle's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of American Eagle's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of American Eagle fundamentals over time.
American |
Open Interest Against 2024-12-13 American Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American Eagle's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in American Eagle's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for American Eagle stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American Eagle's open interest, investors have to compare it to American Eagle's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American Eagle is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
| Previous Daily Balance Of Power | Daily Balance Of Power | Trend |
| 0.3582 | (0.23) |
| Check American Eagle Volatility | Backtest American Eagle | Trend Details |
American Eagle Trading Date Momentum
| On September 27 2024 American Eagle Outfitters was traded for 21.83 at the closing time. Highest American Eagle's price during the trading hours was 22.03 and the lowest price during the day was 21.09 . The net volume was 5.9 M. The overall trading history on the 27th of September contributed to the next trading period price boost. The overall trading delta to the next next day price was 4.20% . The overall trading delta to current price is 5.39% . |
Balance of Power indicator was created by Igor Livshin to predict asset short term price movements or warning signals. If Balance of Power indicator is trended towards the high of its range it will signify that the bulls are in control. On the other hand when the BOP indicator is moving towards the lows of its range it signifies that the bears are in control. If the indicator move from a high positive range to a lower positive range it signifies that the buying pressure is decreasing. Conversely, if the indicator move from a low negative range to a higher negative range it signifies that the selling pressure is decreasing.
| Compare American Eagle to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for American Eagle
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Eagle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Eagle's price trends.American Eagle Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Eagle stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Eagle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Eagle by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Eagle Outfitters Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of American Eagle's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of American Eagle's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Eagle Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Eagle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Eagle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Eagle stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Eagle Outfitters entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
American Eagle Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Eagle's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Eagle's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.8 | |||
| Variance | 7.84 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with American Eagle
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Eagle position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Eagle will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with American Stock
| 0.75 | YJ | Yunji Inc Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
Moving against American Stock
| 0.67 | GME | GameStop Corp Buyout Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | VSCO | Victorias Secret | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | JFBR | Jeffs Brands | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | EYE | National Vision Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | ABG | Asbury Automotive | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Eagle could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Eagle when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Eagle - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Eagle Outfitters to buy it.
The correlation of American Eagle is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Eagle moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Eagle Outfitters moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Eagle can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Eagle to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Eagle. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Eagle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.568 | Earnings Share 1.17 | Revenue Per Share 27.689 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.075 | Return On Assets 0.0804 |
The market value of American Eagle Outfitters is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Eagle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Eagle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Eagle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Eagle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Eagle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Eagle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Eagle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.