DANANG HOUSING Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NDN Stock   9,200  300.00  3.16%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of DANANG HOUSING on the next trading day is expected to be 9,371 with a mean absolute deviation of 80.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,908. DANANG Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for DANANG HOUSING is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of DANANG HOUSING value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

DANANG HOUSING Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of DANANG HOUSING on the next trading day is expected to be 9,371 with a mean absolute deviation of 80.45, mean absolute percentage error of 13,231, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,908.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DANANG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DANANG HOUSING's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DANANG HOUSING Stock Forecast Pattern

DANANG HOUSING Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DANANG HOUSING's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DANANG HOUSING's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9,370 and 9,373, respectively. We have considered DANANG HOUSING's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9,200
9,371
Expected Value
9,373
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DANANG HOUSING stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DANANG HOUSING stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria127.6008
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation80.4528
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.009
SAESum of the absolute errors4907.6178
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of DANANG HOUSING. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict DANANG HOUSING. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for DANANG HOUSING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DANANG HOUSING. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,1999,2009,201
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9,1249,12510,120
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8,4818,9509,419
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DANANG HOUSING

For every potential investor in DANANG, whether a beginner or expert, DANANG HOUSING's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DANANG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DANANG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DANANG HOUSING's price trends.

DANANG HOUSING Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DANANG HOUSING stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DANANG HOUSING could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DANANG HOUSING by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DANANG HOUSING Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DANANG HOUSING's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DANANG HOUSING's current price.

DANANG HOUSING Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DANANG HOUSING stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DANANG HOUSING shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DANANG HOUSING stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DANANG HOUSING entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DANANG HOUSING Risk Indicators

The analysis of DANANG HOUSING's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DANANG HOUSING's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting danang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in DANANG Stock

DANANG HOUSING financial ratios help investors to determine whether DANANG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DANANG with respect to the benefits of owning DANANG HOUSING security.