Neto Malinda Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NTML Stock  ILS 8,226  173.00  2.06%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neto Malinda on the next trading day is expected to be 7,986 with a mean absolute deviation of 117.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,147. Neto Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Neto Malinda stock prices and determine the direction of Neto Malinda's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Neto Malinda's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Neto Malinda is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Neto Malinda value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Neto Malinda Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neto Malinda on the next trading day is expected to be 7,986 with a mean absolute deviation of 117.16, mean absolute percentage error of 22,005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,147.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neto Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neto Malinda's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Neto Malinda Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Neto MalindaNeto Malinda Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Neto Malinda Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Neto Malinda's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Neto Malinda's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7,984 and 7,988, respectively. We have considered Neto Malinda's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8,226
7,986
Expected Value
7,988
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neto Malinda stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neto Malinda stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.1095
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation117.1562
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0166
SAESum of the absolute errors7146.5282
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Neto Malinda. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Neto Malinda. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Neto Malinda

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neto Malinda. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8,2248,2268,228
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,7677,7699,049
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Neto Malinda

For every potential investor in Neto, whether a beginner or expert, Neto Malinda's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neto Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neto. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neto Malinda's price trends.

Neto Malinda Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Neto Malinda stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Neto Malinda could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Neto Malinda by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Neto Malinda Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Neto Malinda's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Neto Malinda's current price.

Neto Malinda Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neto Malinda stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neto Malinda shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neto Malinda stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Neto Malinda entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Neto Malinda Risk Indicators

The analysis of Neto Malinda's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neto Malinda's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neto stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Neto Stock

Neto Malinda financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neto Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neto with respect to the benefits of owning Neto Malinda security.