Correlation Between China National and China Merchants

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both China National and China Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining China National and China Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between China National Software and China Merchants Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on China National and China Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in China National with a short position of China Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of China National and China Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for China National and China Merchants

0.61
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between China and China is 0.61. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding China National Software and China Merchants Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on China Merchants Bank and China National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on China National Software are associated (or correlated) with China Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of China Merchants Bank has no effect on the direction of China National i.e., China National and China Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between China National and China Merchants

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China National Software is expected to generate 1.99 times more return on investment than China Merchants. However, China National is 1.99 times more volatile than China Merchants Bank. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. China Merchants Bank is currently generating about 0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,384  in China National Software on September 16, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,851  from holding China National Software or generate 54.7% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

China National Software  vs.  China Merchants Bank

 Performance 
       Timeline  
China National Software 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in China National Software are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, China National sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
China Merchants Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in China Merchants Bank are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, China Merchants sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

China National and China Merchants Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with China National and China Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite China National and China Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if China National position performs unexpectedly, China Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in China Merchants will offset losses from the drop in China Merchants' long position.
The idea behind China National Software and China Merchants Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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