Correlation Between American Homes and AvalonBay Communities

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Homes and AvalonBay Communities at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Homes and AvalonBay Communities into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Homes 4 and AvalonBay Communities, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Homes and AvalonBay Communities and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Homes with a short position of AvalonBay Communities. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Homes and AvalonBay Communities.

Diversification Opportunities for American Homes and AvalonBay Communities

0.5
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between American and AvalonBay is 0.5. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Homes 4 and AvalonBay Communities in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on AvalonBay Communities and American Homes is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Homes 4 are associated (or correlated) with AvalonBay Communities. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of AvalonBay Communities has no effect on the direction of American Homes i.e., American Homes and AvalonBay Communities go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Homes and AvalonBay Communities

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon American Homes is expected to generate 2.91 times less return on investment than AvalonBay Communities. In addition to that, American Homes is 1.58 times more volatile than AvalonBay Communities. It trades about 0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. AvalonBay Communities is currently generating about 0.13 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  20,327  in AvalonBay Communities on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,123  from holding AvalonBay Communities or generate 10.44% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

American Homes 4  vs.  AvalonBay Communities

 Performance 
       Timeline  
American Homes 4 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Homes 4 are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, American Homes is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
AvalonBay Communities 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in AvalonBay Communities are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, AvalonBay Communities may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

American Homes and AvalonBay Communities Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with American Homes and AvalonBay Communities

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Homes and AvalonBay Communities positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Homes position performs unexpectedly, AvalonBay Communities can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AvalonBay Communities will offset losses from the drop in AvalonBay Communities' long position.
The idea behind American Homes 4 and AvalonBay Communities pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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