Correlation Between Astra Agro and Archi Indonesia

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Astra Agro and Archi Indonesia at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Astra Agro and Archi Indonesia into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Astra Agro Lestari and Archi Indonesia Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Astra Agro and Archi Indonesia and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Astra Agro with a short position of Archi Indonesia. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Astra Agro and Archi Indonesia.

Diversification Opportunities for Astra Agro and Archi Indonesia

0.78
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Astra and Archi is 0.78. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Astra Agro Lestari and Archi Indonesia Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Archi Indonesia Tbk and Astra Agro is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Astra Agro Lestari are associated (or correlated) with Archi Indonesia. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Archi Indonesia Tbk has no effect on the direction of Astra Agro i.e., Astra Agro and Archi Indonesia go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Astra Agro and Archi Indonesia

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Astra Agro Lestari is expected to generate 0.63 times more return on investment than Archi Indonesia. However, Astra Agro Lestari is 1.58 times less risky than Archi Indonesia. It trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Archi Indonesia Tbk is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  631,976  in Astra Agro Lestari on September 16, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (9,476) from holding Astra Agro Lestari or give up 1.5% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Astra Agro Lestari  vs.  Archi Indonesia Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Astra Agro Lestari 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Astra Agro Lestari has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Astra Agro is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Archi Indonesia Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Archi Indonesia Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Archi Indonesia is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Astra Agro and Archi Indonesia Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Astra Agro and Archi Indonesia

The main advantage of trading using opposite Astra Agro and Archi Indonesia positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Astra Agro position performs unexpectedly, Archi Indonesia can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Archi Indonesia will offset losses from the drop in Archi Indonesia's long position.
The idea behind Astra Agro Lestari and Archi Indonesia Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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