Correlation Between Astra Agro and Itama Ranoraya

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Astra Agro and Itama Ranoraya at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Astra Agro and Itama Ranoraya into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Astra Agro Lestari and Itama Ranoraya, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Astra Agro and Itama Ranoraya and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Astra Agro with a short position of Itama Ranoraya. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Astra Agro and Itama Ranoraya.

Diversification Opportunities for Astra Agro and Itama Ranoraya

0.71
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Astra and Itama is 0.71. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Astra Agro Lestari and Itama Ranoraya in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Itama Ranoraya and Astra Agro is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Astra Agro Lestari are associated (or correlated) with Itama Ranoraya. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Itama Ranoraya has no effect on the direction of Astra Agro i.e., Astra Agro and Itama Ranoraya go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Astra Agro and Itama Ranoraya

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Astra Agro Lestari is expected to generate 1.16 times more return on investment than Itama Ranoraya. However, Astra Agro is 1.16 times more volatile than Itama Ranoraya. It trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Itama Ranoraya is currently generating about -0.22 per unit of risk. If you would invest  631,976  in Astra Agro Lestari on September 17, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (9,476) from holding Astra Agro Lestari or give up 1.5% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Astra Agro Lestari  vs.  Itama Ranoraya

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Astra Agro Lestari 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Astra Agro Lestari has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Astra Agro is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Itama Ranoraya 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Itama Ranoraya has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Astra Agro and Itama Ranoraya Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Astra Agro and Itama Ranoraya

The main advantage of trading using opposite Astra Agro and Itama Ranoraya positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Astra Agro position performs unexpectedly, Itama Ranoraya can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Itama Ranoraya will offset losses from the drop in Itama Ranoraya's long position.
The idea behind Astra Agro Lestari and Itama Ranoraya pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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