Correlation Between Astra Agro and Panca Budi

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Astra Agro and Panca Budi at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Astra Agro and Panca Budi into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Astra Agro Lestari and Panca Budi Idaman, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Astra Agro and Panca Budi and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Astra Agro with a short position of Panca Budi. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Astra Agro and Panca Budi.

Diversification Opportunities for Astra Agro and Panca Budi

-0.39
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Astra and Panca is -0.39. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Astra Agro Lestari and Panca Budi Idaman in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Panca Budi Idaman and Astra Agro is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Astra Agro Lestari are associated (or correlated) with Panca Budi. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Panca Budi Idaman has no effect on the direction of Astra Agro i.e., Astra Agro and Panca Budi go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Astra Agro and Panca Budi

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Astra Agro Lestari is expected to under-perform the Panca Budi. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Astra Agro Lestari is 1.38 times less risky than Panca Budi. The stock trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Panca Budi Idaman is currently generating about 0.16 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  46,200  in Panca Budi Idaman on September 16, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  8,800  from holding Panca Budi Idaman or generate 19.05% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Astra Agro Lestari  vs.  Panca Budi Idaman

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Astra Agro Lestari 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Astra Agro Lestari has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Astra Agro is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Panca Budi Idaman 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Panca Budi Idaman are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting forward-looking signals, Panca Budi disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Astra Agro and Panca Budi Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Astra Agro and Panca Budi

The main advantage of trading using opposite Astra Agro and Panca Budi positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Astra Agro position performs unexpectedly, Panca Budi can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Panca Budi will offset losses from the drop in Panca Budi's long position.
The idea behind Astra Agro Lestari and Panca Budi Idaman pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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