Correlation Between Air Canada and Assured Guaranty

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Air Canada and Assured Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Air Canada and Assured Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Air Canada and Assured Guaranty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Air Canada and Assured Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Air Canada with a short position of Assured Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Air Canada and Assured Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for Air Canada and Assured Guaranty

0.88

Correlation Coefficient

Air Canada  Assured Guaranty

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Air and Assured is 0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Air Canada and Assured Guaranty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Assured Guaranty and Air Canada is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Air Canada are associated (or correlated) with Assured Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Assured Guaranty has no effect on the direction of Air Canada i.e., Air Canada and Assured Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Air Canada and Assured Guaranty

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Air Canada is expected to generate 0.94 times more return on investment than Assured Guaranty. However, Air Canada is 1.07 times less risky than Assured Guaranty. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Assured Guaranty is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,059  in Air Canada on September 22, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  379.00  from holding Air Canada or generate 35.79% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	98.48%
Values	Daily Returns

Air Canada  vs.  Assured Guaranty

Air Canada

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Air Canada are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Air Canada unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Assured Guaranty

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Assured Guaranty are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Assured Guaranty reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Air Canada and Assured Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Air Canada and Assured Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Air Canada position performs unexpectedly, Assured Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Assured Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in Assured Guaranty's long position.

The idea behind Air Canada and Assured Guaranty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.