Correlation Between American Financial and Carlyle

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Financial and Carlyle at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Financial and Carlyle into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Financial Group and The Carlyle Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Financial and Carlyle and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Financial with a short position of Carlyle. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Financial and Carlyle.

Diversification Opportunities for American Financial and Carlyle

0.88
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between American and Carlyle is 0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Financial Group and The Carlyle Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Carlyle Group and American Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Financial Group are associated (or correlated) with Carlyle. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Carlyle Group has no effect on the direction of American Financial i.e., American Financial and Carlyle go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Financial and Carlyle

Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Financial Group is expected to generate 0.7 times more return on investment than Carlyle. However, American Financial Group is 1.43 times less risky than Carlyle. It trades about -0.51 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Carlyle Group is currently generating about -0.37 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,420  in American Financial Group on September 26, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (181.00) from holding American Financial Group or give up 7.48% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

American Financial Group  vs.  The Carlyle Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
American Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days American Financial Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Preferred Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders.
Carlyle Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days The Carlyle Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest uncertain performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

American Financial and Carlyle Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with American Financial and Carlyle

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Financial and Carlyle positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Financial position performs unexpectedly, Carlyle can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Carlyle will offset losses from the drop in Carlyle's long position.
The idea behind American Financial Group and The Carlyle Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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