Correlation Between Small Cap and Emerging Markets

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Small Cap and Emerging Markets at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Small Cap and Emerging Markets into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Small Cap Growth and Emerging Markets Debt, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Small Cap and Emerging Markets and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Small Cap with a short position of Emerging Markets. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Small Cap and Emerging Markets.

Diversification Opportunities for Small Cap and Emerging Markets

SmallEmergingDiversified AwaySmallEmergingDiversified Away100%
-0.34
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Small and Emerging is -0.34. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Small Cap Growth and Emerging Markets Debt in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Emerging Markets Debt and Small Cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Small Cap Growth are associated (or correlated) with Emerging Markets. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Emerging Markets Debt has no effect on the direction of Small Cap i.e., Small Cap and Emerging Markets go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Small Cap and Emerging Markets

Assuming the 90 days horizon Small Cap Growth is expected to generate 3.64 times more return on investment than Emerging Markets. However, Small Cap is 3.64 times more volatile than Emerging Markets Debt. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Emerging Markets Debt is currently generating about -0.28 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,135  in Small Cap Growth on September 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  28.00  from holding Small Cap Growth or generate 1.31% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Small Cap Growth  vs.  Emerging Markets Debt

 Performance 
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15OctNovDec -50510
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15ANOIX AEDWX
       Timeline  
Small Cap Growth 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Small Cap Growth are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Small Cap is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15NovDecDec2121.52222.523
Emerging Markets Debt 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Emerging Markets Debt has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Emerging Markets is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15NovDecDec8.78.88.999.1

Small Cap and Emerging Markets Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-3.58-2.68-1.78-0.880.00.91.822.743.66 1234
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15ANOIX AEDWX
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Small Cap and Emerging Markets

The main advantage of trading using opposite Small Cap and Emerging Markets positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Small Cap position performs unexpectedly, Emerging Markets can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Emerging Markets will offset losses from the drop in Emerging Markets' long position.
The idea behind Small Cap Growth and Emerging Markets Debt pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

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