Correlation Between ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ARC Resources with a short position of Birchcliff Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy

-0.2
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between ARC and Birchcliff is -0.2. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Birchcliff Energy and ARC Resources is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ARC Resources are associated (or correlated) with Birchcliff Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Birchcliff Energy has no effect on the direction of ARC Resources i.e., ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ARC Resources is expected to generate 1.07 times more return on investment than Birchcliff Energy. However, ARC Resources is 1.07 times more volatile than Birchcliff Energy. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Birchcliff Energy is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,367  in ARC Resources on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  159.00  from holding ARC Resources or generate 6.72% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ARC Resources  vs.  Birchcliff Energy

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ARC Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ARC Resources are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, ARC Resources may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Birchcliff Energy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Birchcliff Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Birchcliff Energy is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ARC Resources position performs unexpectedly, Birchcliff Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Birchcliff Energy will offset losses from the drop in Birchcliff Energy's long position.
The idea behind ARC Resources and Birchcliff Energy pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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