Correlation Between American Express and NOVARTIS

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Express and NOVARTIS at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Express and NOVARTIS into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Express and NOVARTIS CAP P, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Express and NOVARTIS and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Express with a short position of NOVARTIS. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Express and NOVARTIS.

Diversification Opportunities for American Express and NOVARTIS

-0.57
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between American and NOVARTIS is -0.57. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Express and NOVARTIS CAP P in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on NOVARTIS CAP P and American Express is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Express are associated (or correlated) with NOVARTIS. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of NOVARTIS CAP P has no effect on the direction of American Express i.e., American Express and NOVARTIS go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Express and NOVARTIS

Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Express is expected to generate 6.75 times more return on investment than NOVARTIS. However, American Express is 6.75 times more volatile than NOVARTIS CAP P. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. NOVARTIS CAP P is currently generating about -0.13 per unit of risk. If you would invest  25,449  in American Express on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,797  from holding American Express or generate 18.85% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy96.88%
ValuesDaily Returns

American Express  vs.  NOVARTIS CAP P

 Performance 
       Timeline  
American Express 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Express are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, American Express reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
NOVARTIS CAP P 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days NOVARTIS CAP P has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, NOVARTIS is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

American Express and NOVARTIS Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with American Express and NOVARTIS

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Express and NOVARTIS positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Express position performs unexpectedly, NOVARTIS can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NOVARTIS will offset losses from the drop in NOVARTIS's long position.
The idea behind American Express and NOVARTIS CAP P pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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