Correlation Between Carlsberg and Heineken Holding

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Carlsberg and Heineken Holding at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Carlsberg and Heineken Holding into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Carlsberg AS and Heineken Holding NV, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Carlsberg and Heineken Holding and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Carlsberg with a short position of Heineken Holding. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Carlsberg and Heineken Holding.

Diversification Opportunities for Carlsberg and Heineken Holding

0.92
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Carlsberg and Heineken is 0.92. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Carlsberg AS and Heineken Holding NV in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Heineken Holding and Carlsberg is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Carlsberg AS are associated (or correlated) with Heineken Holding. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Heineken Holding has no effect on the direction of Carlsberg i.e., Carlsberg and Heineken Holding go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Carlsberg and Heineken Holding

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Carlsberg AS is expected to generate 1.83 times more return on investment than Heineken Holding. However, Carlsberg is 1.83 times more volatile than Heineken Holding NV. It trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Heineken Holding NV is currently generating about -0.28 per unit of risk. If you would invest  11,200  in Carlsberg AS on September 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (250.00) from holding Carlsberg AS or give up 2.23% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Carlsberg AS  vs.  Heineken Holding NV

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Carlsberg AS 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Carlsberg AS has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
Heineken Holding 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Heineken Holding NV has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Carlsberg and Heineken Holding Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Carlsberg and Heineken Holding

The main advantage of trading using opposite Carlsberg and Heineken Holding positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Carlsberg position performs unexpectedly, Heineken Holding can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Heineken Holding will offset losses from the drop in Heineken Holding's long position.
The idea behind Carlsberg AS and Heineken Holding NV pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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