Correlation Between Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Commerce Bancshares with a short position of Independent Bank. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank.

Diversification Opportunities for Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank

0.94
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Commerce and Independent is 0.94. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Independent Bank and Commerce Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Commerce Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Independent Bank. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Independent Bank has no effect on the direction of Commerce Bancshares i.e., Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Commerce Bancshares is expected to generate 1.32 times less return on investment than Independent Bank. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Commerce Bancshares is 1.42 times less risky than Independent Bank. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Independent Bank Group is currently generating about 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,458  in Independent Bank Group on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,316  from holding Independent Bank Group or generate 24.11% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Commerce Bancshares  vs.  Independent Bank Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Commerce Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerce Bancshares are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly fragile basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Independent Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Independent Bank Group are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Independent Bank showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank

The main advantage of trading using opposite Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Commerce Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, Independent Bank can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Independent Bank will offset losses from the drop in Independent Bank's long position.
The idea behind Commerce Bancshares and Independent Bank Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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