Correlation Between Chemung Financial and Home Federal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Chemung Financial and Home Federal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Chemung Financial and Home Federal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Chemung Financial Corp and Home Federal Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Chemung Financial and Home Federal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Chemung Financial with a short position of Home Federal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Chemung Financial and Home Federal.

Diversification Opportunities for Chemung Financial and Home Federal

0.11
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between Chemung and Home is 0.11. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Chemung Financial Corp and Home Federal Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Home Federal Bancorp and Chemung Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Chemung Financial Corp are associated (or correlated) with Home Federal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Home Federal Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Chemung Financial i.e., Chemung Financial and Home Federal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Chemung Financial and Home Federal

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Chemung Financial is expected to generate 85.05 times less return on investment than Home Federal. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Chemung Financial Corp is 98.63 times less risky than Home Federal. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Home Federal Bancorp is currently generating about 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,250  in Home Federal Bancorp on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (14.00) from holding Home Federal Bancorp or give up 1.12% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy90.63%
ValuesDaily Returns

Chemung Financial Corp  vs.  Home Federal Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Chemung Financial Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Chemung Financial Corp are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady primary indicators, Chemung Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile fundamental drivers, Home Federal disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Chemung Financial and Home Federal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Chemung Financial and Home Federal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Chemung Financial and Home Federal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Chemung Financial position performs unexpectedly, Home Federal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Home Federal will offset losses from the drop in Home Federal's long position.
The idea behind Chemung Financial Corp and Home Federal Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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