Correlation Between ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ConocoPhillips with a short position of Devon Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy

0.24
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between ConocoPhillips and Devon is 0.24. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Devon Energy and ConocoPhillips is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ConocoPhillips are associated (or correlated) with Devon Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Devon Energy has no effect on the direction of ConocoPhillips i.e., ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ConocoPhillips is expected to generate 1.15 times more return on investment than Devon Energy. However, ConocoPhillips is 1.15 times more volatile than Devon Energy. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Devon Energy is currently generating about -0.14 per unit of risk. If you would invest  203,277  in ConocoPhillips on September 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,723  from holding ConocoPhillips or generate 0.85% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy98.39%
ValuesDaily Returns

ConocoPhillips  vs.  Devon Energy

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ConocoPhillips 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ConocoPhillips are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, ConocoPhillips is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Devon Energy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Devon Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ConocoPhillips position performs unexpectedly, Devon Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Devon Energy will offset losses from the drop in Devon Energy's long position.
The idea behind ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

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