Correlation Between ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ConocoPhillips with a short position of Marathon Oil. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil.

Diversification Opportunities for ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil

-0.23
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between ConocoPhillips and Marathon is -0.23. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Marathon Oil and ConocoPhillips is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ConocoPhillips are associated (or correlated) with Marathon Oil. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Marathon Oil has no effect on the direction of ConocoPhillips i.e., ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ConocoPhillips is expected to generate 1.12 times less return on investment than Marathon Oil. In addition to that, ConocoPhillips is 2.12 times more volatile than Marathon Oil. It trades about 0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Marathon Oil is currently generating about 0.12 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  53,792  in Marathon Oil on September 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,608  from holding Marathon Oil or generate 4.85% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy63.93%
ValuesDaily Returns

ConocoPhillips  vs.  Marathon Oil

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ConocoPhillips 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ConocoPhillips are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, ConocoPhillips may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Marathon Oil 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Over the last 90 days Marathon Oil has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Marathon Oil may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil

The main advantage of trading using opposite ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ConocoPhillips position performs unexpectedly, Marathon Oil can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Marathon Oil will offset losses from the drop in Marathon Oil's long position.
The idea behind ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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