Correlation Between Commerzbank and Home Federal

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Commerzbank and Home Federal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Commerzbank and Home Federal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Commerzbank AG and Home Federal Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Commerzbank and Home Federal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Commerzbank with a short position of Home Federal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Commerzbank and Home Federal.

Diversification Opportunities for Commerzbank and Home Federal

-0.06

Correlation Coefficient

Commerzbank  Home Federal

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Commerzbank and Home is -0.06. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Commerzbank AG and Home Federal Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Home Federal Bancorp and Commerzbank is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Commerzbank AG are associated (or correlated) with Home Federal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Home Federal Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Commerzbank i.e., Commerzbank and Home Federal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Commerzbank and Home Federal

Assuming the 90 days horizon Commerzbank is expected to generate 96.28 times less return on investment than Home Federal. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Commerzbank AG is 40.07 times less risky than Home Federal. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Home Federal Bancorp is currently generating about 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,250  in Home Federal Bancorp on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (14.00) from holding Home Federal Bancorp or give up 1.12% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	90.63%
Values	Daily Returns

Commerzbank AG  vs.  Home Federal Bancorp

Commerzbank AG

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerzbank AG are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak fundamental drivers, Commerzbank may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Home Federal Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unfluctuating fundamental drivers, Home Federal disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Commerzbank and Home Federal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Commerzbank and Home Federal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Commerzbank position performs unexpectedly, Home Federal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Home Federal will offset losses from the drop in Home Federal's long position.

The idea behind Commerzbank AG and Home Federal Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.