Correlation Between Commerzbank and BNP Paribas

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Commerzbank and BNP Paribas at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Commerzbank and BNP Paribas into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Commerzbank AG PK and BNP Paribas SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Commerzbank and BNP Paribas and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Commerzbank with a short position of BNP Paribas. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Commerzbank and BNP Paribas.

Diversification Opportunities for Commerzbank and BNP Paribas

0.31
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Commerzbank and BNP is 0.31. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Commerzbank AG PK and BNP Paribas SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on BNP Paribas SA and Commerzbank is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Commerzbank AG PK are associated (or correlated) with BNP Paribas. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of BNP Paribas SA has no effect on the direction of Commerzbank i.e., Commerzbank and BNP Paribas go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Commerzbank and BNP Paribas

Assuming the 90 days horizon Commerzbank AG PK is expected to generate 1.81 times more return on investment than BNP Paribas. However, Commerzbank is 1.81 times more volatile than BNP Paribas SA. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. BNP Paribas SA is currently generating about -0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,446  in Commerzbank AG PK on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  92.00  from holding Commerzbank AG PK or generate 6.36% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Commerzbank AG PK  vs.  BNP Paribas SA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Commerzbank AG PK 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerzbank AG PK are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental drivers, Commerzbank may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
BNP Paribas SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days BNP Paribas SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

Commerzbank and BNP Paribas Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Commerzbank and BNP Paribas

The main advantage of trading using opposite Commerzbank and BNP Paribas positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Commerzbank position performs unexpectedly, BNP Paribas can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BNP Paribas will offset losses from the drop in BNP Paribas' long position.
The idea behind Commerzbank AG PK and BNP Paribas SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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