Correlation Between Country Garden and Forestar

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Country Garden and Forestar at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Country Garden and Forestar into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Country Garden Holdings and Forestar Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Country Garden and Forestar and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Country Garden with a short position of Forestar. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Country Garden and Forestar.

Diversification Opportunities for Country Garden and Forestar

-0.47
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Country and Forestar is -0.47. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Country Garden Holdings and Forestar Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Forestar Group and Country Garden is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Country Garden Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Forestar. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Forestar Group has no effect on the direction of Country Garden i.e., Country Garden and Forestar go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Country Garden and Forestar

Assuming the 90 days horizon Country Garden Holdings is expected to generate 14.51 times more return on investment than Forestar. However, Country Garden is 14.51 times more volatile than Forestar Group. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Forestar Group is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  12.00  in Country Garden Holdings on September 15, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6.00  from holding Country Garden Holdings or generate 50.0% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Country Garden Holdings  vs.  Forestar Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Country Garden Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Country Garden Holdings are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly inconsistent basic indicators, Country Garden reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Forestar Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Forestar Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with latest conflicting performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain invariable and the latest agitation on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-running gains for the enterprise retail investors.

Country Garden and Forestar Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Country Garden and Forestar

The main advantage of trading using opposite Country Garden and Forestar positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Country Garden position performs unexpectedly, Forestar can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Forestar will offset losses from the drop in Forestar's long position.
The idea behind Country Garden Holdings and Forestar Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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