Correlation Between Ampol and CVR Energy

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ampol and CVR Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ampol and CVR Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ampol Ltd ADR and CVR Energy, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ampol and CVR Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ampol with a short position of CVR Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ampol and CVR Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for Ampol and CVR Energy

0.68
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ampol and CVR is 0.68. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ampol Ltd ADR and CVR Energy in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on CVR Energy and Ampol is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ampol Ltd ADR are associated (or correlated) with CVR Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of CVR Energy has no effect on the direction of Ampol i.e., Ampol and CVR Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ampol and CVR Energy

Assuming the 90 days horizon Ampol Ltd ADR is expected to generate 0.45 times more return on investment than CVR Energy. However, Ampol Ltd ADR is 2.2 times less risky than CVR Energy. It trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. CVR Energy is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,862  in Ampol Ltd ADR on September 18, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (401.00) from holding Ampol Ltd ADR or give up 10.38% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ampol Ltd ADR  vs.  CVR Energy

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ampol Ltd ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ampol Ltd ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest inconsistent performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.
CVR Energy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days CVR Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders.

Ampol and CVR Energy Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ampol and CVR Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ampol and CVR Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ampol position performs unexpectedly, CVR Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CVR Energy will offset losses from the drop in CVR Energy's long position.
The idea behind Ampol Ltd ADR and CVR Energy pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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