Correlation Between Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial Services, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cullman Bancorp with a short position of Orrstown Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial

-0.32

Correlation Coefficient

Cullman Bancorp  Orrstown Financial

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cullman and Orrstown is -0.32. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial Services in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Orrstown Financial and Cullman Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cullman Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Orrstown Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Orrstown Financial has no effect on the direction of Cullman Bancorp i.e., Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cullman Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Orrstown Financial. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Cullman Bancorp is 1.74 times less risky than Orrstown Financial. The stock trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Orrstown Financial Services is currently generating about 0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,416  in Orrstown Financial Services on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,565  from holding Orrstown Financial Services or generate 64.78% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	78.79%
Values	Daily Returns

Cullman Bancorp  vs.  Orrstown Financial Services

Cullman Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Cullman Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent essential indicators, Cullman Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Orrstown Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Orrstown Financial Services are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly conflicting basic indicators, Orrstown Financial reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cullman Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Orrstown Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orrstown Financial will offset losses from the drop in Orrstown Financial's long position.

The idea behind Cullman Bancorp and Orrstown Financial Services pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.