Correlation Between FAT Brands and First Watch

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both FAT Brands and First Watch at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining FAT Brands and First Watch into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between FAT Brands and First Watch Restaurant, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on FAT Brands and First Watch and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in FAT Brands with a short position of First Watch. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of FAT Brands and First Watch.

Diversification Opportunities for FAT Brands and First Watch

-0.3
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between FAT and First is -0.3. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding FAT Brands and First Watch Restaurant in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Watch Restaurant and FAT Brands is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on FAT Brands are associated (or correlated) with First Watch. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Watch Restaurant has no effect on the direction of FAT Brands i.e., FAT Brands and First Watch go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between FAT Brands and First Watch

Assuming the 90 days horizon FAT Brands is expected to under-perform the First Watch. In addition to that, FAT Brands is 1.91 times more volatile than First Watch Restaurant. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Watch Restaurant is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,955  in First Watch Restaurant on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3.00  from holding First Watch Restaurant or generate 0.15% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

FAT Brands  vs.  First Watch Restaurant

 Performance 
       Timeline  
FAT Brands 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FAT Brands are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak fundamental drivers, FAT Brands may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
First Watch Restaurant 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Watch Restaurant are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unfluctuating basic indicators, First Watch reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

FAT Brands and First Watch Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with FAT Brands and First Watch

The main advantage of trading using opposite FAT Brands and First Watch positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if FAT Brands position performs unexpectedly, First Watch can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Watch will offset losses from the drop in First Watch's long position.
The idea behind FAT Brands and First Watch Restaurant pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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