Correlation Between First Commonwealth and First Bancorp

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Commonwealth and First Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Commonwealth and First Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Commonwealth Financial and First Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Commonwealth and First Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Commonwealth with a short position of First Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Commonwealth and First Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for First Commonwealth and First Bancorp

0.51

Correlation Coefficient

First Commonwealth  First Bancorp

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and First is 0.51. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Commonwealth Financial and First Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Bancorp and First Commonwealth is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Commonwealth Financial are associated (or correlated) with First Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Commonwealth i.e., First Commonwealth and First Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Commonwealth and First Bancorp

Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Commonwealth Financial is expected to generate 1.03 times more return on investment than First Bancorp. However, First Commonwealth is 1.03 times more volatile than First Bancorp. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Bancorp is currently generating about -0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,695  in First Commonwealth Financial on September 18, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  142.00  from holding First Commonwealth Financial or generate 8.38% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

First Commonwealth Financial  vs.  First Bancorp

First Commonwealth

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Commonwealth Financial are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady fundamental indicators, First Commonwealth may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

First Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable fundamental drivers, First Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Pair Trading with First Commonwealth and First Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Commonwealth and First Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Commonwealth position performs unexpectedly, First Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in First Bancorp's long position.

The idea behind First Commonwealth Financial and First Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.