Correlation Between First Financial and First Guaranty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Financial and First Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Financial and First Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Financial Northwest and First Guaranty Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Financial and First Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Financial with a short position of First Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Financial and First Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for First Financial and First Guaranty

-0.3
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and First is -0.3. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Financial Northwest and First Guaranty Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Guaranty Bancshares and First Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Financial Northwest are associated (or correlated) with First Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Guaranty Bancshares has no effect on the direction of First Financial i.e., First Financial and First Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Financial and First Guaranty

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Financial Northwest is expected to under-perform the First Guaranty. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, First Financial Northwest is 2.55 times less risky than First Guaranty. The stock trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The First Guaranty Bancshares is currently generating about 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,069  in First Guaranty Bancshares on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  214.00  from holding First Guaranty Bancshares or generate 20.02% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Financial Northwest  vs.  First Guaranty Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Financial Northwest 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days First Financial Northwest has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, First Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.
First Guaranty Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Guaranty Bancshares are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly unsteady fundamental drivers, First Guaranty demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Financial and First Guaranty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Financial and First Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Financial and First Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Financial position performs unexpectedly, First Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in First Guaranty's long position.
The idea behind First Financial Northwest and First Guaranty Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

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