Correlation Between First Guaranty and Heritage Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Guaranty and Heritage Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Guaranty and Heritage Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Guaranty Bancshares and Heritage Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Guaranty and Heritage Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Guaranty with a short position of Heritage Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Guaranty and Heritage Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for First Guaranty and Heritage Financial

0.75
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Heritage is 0.75. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Guaranty Bancshares and Heritage Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Heritage Financial and First Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Guaranty Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Heritage Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Heritage Financial has no effect on the direction of First Guaranty i.e., First Guaranty and Heritage Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Guaranty and Heritage Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Guaranty Bancshares is expected to generate 0.74 times more return on investment than Heritage Financial. However, First Guaranty Bancshares is 1.34 times less risky than Heritage Financial. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Heritage Financial is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,023  in First Guaranty Bancshares on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  327.00  from holding First Guaranty Bancshares or generate 31.96% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Guaranty Bancshares  vs.  Heritage Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Guaranty Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Guaranty Bancshares are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly uncertain fundamental drivers, First Guaranty demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Heritage Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Heritage Financial are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat conflicting basic indicators, Heritage Financial sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Guaranty and Heritage Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Guaranty and Heritage Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Guaranty and Heritage Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, Heritage Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Heritage Financial will offset losses from the drop in Heritage Financial's long position.
The idea behind First Guaranty Bancshares and Heritage Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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