Correlation Between First Northwest and Orrstown Financial

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Northwest and Orrstown Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Northwest and Orrstown Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Northwest Bancorp and Orrstown Financial Services, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Northwest and Orrstown Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Northwest with a short position of Orrstown Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Northwest and Orrstown Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for First Northwest and Orrstown Financial

0.09

Correlation Coefficient

First Northwest  Orrstown Financial

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Orrstown is 0.09. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Northwest Bancorp and Orrstown Financial Services in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Orrstown Financial and First Northwest is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Northwest Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Orrstown Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Orrstown Financial has no effect on the direction of First Northwest i.e., First Northwest and Orrstown Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Northwest and Orrstown Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Northwest Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Orrstown Financial. In addition to that, First Northwest is 1.32 times more volatile than Orrstown Financial Services. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Orrstown Financial Services is currently generating about 0.13 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  3,474  in Orrstown Financial Services on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  507.00  from holding Orrstown Financial Services or generate 14.59% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

First Northwest Bancorp  vs.  Orrstown Financial Services

First Northwest Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Northwest Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, First Northwest is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Orrstown Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Orrstown Financial Services are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly conflicting basic indicators, Orrstown Financial reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with First Northwest and Orrstown Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Northwest and Orrstown Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Northwest position performs unexpectedly, Orrstown Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orrstown Financial will offset losses from the drop in Orrstown Financial's long position.

The idea behind First Northwest Bancorp and Orrstown Financial Services pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.