Correlation Between First Ottawa and First Community

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Ottawa and First Community at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Ottawa and First Community into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Ottawa Bancshares and First Community Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Ottawa and First Community and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Ottawa with a short position of First Community. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Ottawa and First Community.

Diversification Opportunities for First Ottawa and First Community

-0.77

Correlation Coefficient

First Ottawa  First Community

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between First and First is -0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Ottawa Bancshares and First Community Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Community Financial and First Ottawa is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Ottawa Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with First Community. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Community Financial has no effect on the direction of First Ottawa i.e., First Ottawa and First Community go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Ottawa and First Community

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Ottawa Bancshares is expected to generate 0.48 times more return on investment than First Community. However, First Ottawa Bancshares is 2.09 times less risky than First Community. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Community Financial is currently generating about -0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,934  in First Ottawa Bancshares on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,066  from holding First Ottawa Bancshares or generate 18.9% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

First Ottawa Bancshares  vs.  First Community Financial

First Ottawa Bancshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Ottawa Bancshares are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, First Ottawa sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Community Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Community Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors.

Pair Trading with First Ottawa and First Community

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Ottawa and First Community positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Ottawa position performs unexpectedly, First Community can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Community will offset losses from the drop in First Community's long position.

The idea behind First Ottawa Bancshares and First Community Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.