Correlation Between First Merchants and MACYS

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Merchants and MACYS at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Merchants and MACYS into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Merchants and MACYS RETAIL HLDGS, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Merchants and MACYS and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Merchants with a short position of MACYS. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Merchants and MACYS.

Diversification Opportunities for First Merchants and MACYS

-0.36
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and MACYS is -0.36. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Merchants and MACYS RETAIL HLDGS in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on MACYS RETAIL HLDGS and First Merchants is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Merchants are associated (or correlated) with MACYS. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of MACYS RETAIL HLDGS has no effect on the direction of First Merchants i.e., First Merchants and MACYS go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Merchants and MACYS

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Merchants is expected to generate 1.48 times more return on investment than MACYS. However, First Merchants is 1.48 times more volatile than MACYS RETAIL HLDGS. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. MACYS RETAIL HLDGS is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,777  in First Merchants on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  276.00  from holding First Merchants or generate 7.31% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy94.78%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Merchants  vs.  MACYS RETAIL HLDGS

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Merchants 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Merchants are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak primary indicators, First Merchants may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
MACYS RETAIL HLDGS 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days MACYS RETAIL HLDGS has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, MACYS is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

First Merchants and MACYS Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Merchants and MACYS

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Merchants and MACYS positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Merchants position performs unexpectedly, MACYS can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MACYS will offset losses from the drop in MACYS's long position.
The idea behind First Merchants and MACYS RETAIL HLDGS pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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