Correlation Between Merck KGaA and 4Front Ventures

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merck KGaA and 4Front Ventures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merck KGaA and 4Front Ventures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merck KGaA ADR and 4Front Ventures Corp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merck KGaA and 4Front Ventures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merck KGaA with a short position of 4Front Ventures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merck KGaA and 4Front Ventures.

Diversification Opportunities for Merck KGaA and 4Front Ventures

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Merck and 4Front is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merck KGaA ADR and 4Front Ventures Corp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on 4Front Ventures Corp and Merck KGaA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merck KGaA ADR are associated (or correlated) with 4Front Ventures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of 4Front Ventures Corp has no effect on the direction of Merck KGaA i.e., Merck KGaA and 4Front Ventures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merck KGaA and 4Front Ventures

Assuming the 90 days horizon Merck KGaA ADR is expected to generate 0.16 times more return on investment than 4Front Ventures. However, Merck KGaA ADR is 6.36 times less risky than 4Front Ventures. It trades about -0.38 of its potential returns per unit of risk. 4Front Ventures Corp is currently generating about -0.3 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,348  in Merck KGaA ADR on September 6, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (396.00) from holding Merck KGaA ADR or give up 11.83% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Merck KGaA ADR  vs.  4Front Ventures Corp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Merck KGaA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Merck KGaA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
4Front Ventures Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days 4Front Ventures Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Merck KGaA and 4Front Ventures Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Merck KGaA and 4Front Ventures

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merck KGaA and 4Front Ventures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merck KGaA position performs unexpectedly, 4Front Ventures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in 4Front Ventures will offset losses from the drop in 4Front Ventures' long position.
The idea behind Merck KGaA ADR and 4Front Ventures Corp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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