Correlation Between Merck KGaA and Takeda Pharmaceutical

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merck KGaA and Takeda Pharmaceutical at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merck KGaA and Takeda Pharmaceutical into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merck KGaA ADR and Takeda Pharmaceutical Co, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merck KGaA and Takeda Pharmaceutical and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merck KGaA with a short position of Takeda Pharmaceutical. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merck KGaA and Takeda Pharmaceutical.

Diversification Opportunities for Merck KGaA and Takeda Pharmaceutical

0.6

Correlation Coefficient

Merck KGaA  Takeda Pharmaceutical

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Merck and Takeda is 0.6. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merck KGaA ADR and Takeda Pharmaceutical Co in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Takeda Pharmaceutical and Merck KGaA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merck KGaA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Takeda Pharmaceutical. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Takeda Pharmaceutical has no effect on the direction of Merck KGaA i.e., Merck KGaA and Takeda Pharmaceutical go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merck KGaA and Takeda Pharmaceutical

Assuming the 90 days horizon Merck KGaA ADR is expected to under-perform the Takeda Pharmaceutical. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Merck KGaA ADR is 1.68 times less risky than Takeda Pharmaceutical. The pink sheet trades about -0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Takeda Pharmaceutical Co is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,664  in Takeda Pharmaceutical Co on September 15, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (81.00) from holding Takeda Pharmaceutical Co or give up 3.04% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Merck KGaA ADR  vs.  Takeda Pharmaceutical Co

Merck KGaA ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Merck KGaA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Takeda Pharmaceutical

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Takeda Pharmaceutical Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical indicators, Takeda Pharmaceutical is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Pair Trading with Merck KGaA and Takeda Pharmaceutical

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merck KGaA and Takeda Pharmaceutical positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merck KGaA position performs unexpectedly, Takeda Pharmaceutical can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Takeda Pharmaceutical will offset losses from the drop in Takeda Pharmaceutical's long position.

The idea behind Merck KGaA ADR and Takeda Pharmaceutical Co pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.