Correlation Between Marathon Petroleum and BP Prudhoe

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Marathon Petroleum and BP Prudhoe at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Marathon Petroleum and BP Prudhoe into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Marathon Petroleum Corp and BP Prudhoe Bay, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Marathon Petroleum and BP Prudhoe and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Marathon Petroleum with a short position of BP Prudhoe. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Marathon Petroleum and BP Prudhoe.

Diversification Opportunities for Marathon Petroleum and BP Prudhoe

0.6
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Marathon and BMI is 0.6. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Marathon Petroleum Corp and BP Prudhoe Bay in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on BP Prudhoe Bay and Marathon Petroleum is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Marathon Petroleum Corp are associated (or correlated) with BP Prudhoe. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of BP Prudhoe Bay has no effect on the direction of Marathon Petroleum i.e., Marathon Petroleum and BP Prudhoe go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Marathon Petroleum and BP Prudhoe

Assuming the 90 days horizon Marathon Petroleum Corp is expected to generate 0.23 times more return on investment than BP Prudhoe. However, Marathon Petroleum Corp is 4.43 times less risky than BP Prudhoe. It trades about -0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. BP Prudhoe Bay is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  14,460  in Marathon Petroleum Corp on September 23, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,856) from holding Marathon Petroleum Corp or give up 12.84% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Marathon Petroleum Corp  vs.  BP Prudhoe Bay

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Marathon Petroleum Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Marathon Petroleum Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
BP Prudhoe Bay 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days BP Prudhoe Bay has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Marathon Petroleum and BP Prudhoe Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Marathon Petroleum and BP Prudhoe

The main advantage of trading using opposite Marathon Petroleum and BP Prudhoe positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Marathon Petroleum position performs unexpectedly, BP Prudhoe can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BP Prudhoe will offset losses from the drop in BP Prudhoe's long position.
The idea behind Marathon Petroleum Corp and BP Prudhoe Bay pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

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