Correlation Between Merck and Mural Oncology

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merck and Mural Oncology at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merck and Mural Oncology into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merck Company and Mural Oncology plc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merck and Mural Oncology and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merck with a short position of Mural Oncology. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merck and Mural Oncology.

Diversification Opportunities for Merck and Mural Oncology

-0.46
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Merck and Mural is -0.46. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merck Company and Mural Oncology plc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Mural Oncology plc and Merck is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merck Company are associated (or correlated) with Mural Oncology. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Mural Oncology plc has no effect on the direction of Merck i.e., Merck and Mural Oncology go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merck and Mural Oncology

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Merck Company is expected to under-perform the Mural Oncology. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Merck Company is 2.65 times less risky than Mural Oncology. The stock trades about -0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Mural Oncology plc is currently generating about 0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  345.00  in Mural Oncology plc on September 18, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1.00) from holding Mural Oncology plc or give up 0.29% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Merck Company  vs.  Mural Oncology plc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Merck Company 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Merck Company has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Mural Oncology plc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Mural Oncology plc are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Mural Oncology is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Merck and Mural Oncology Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Merck and Mural Oncology

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merck and Mural Oncology positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merck position performs unexpectedly, Mural Oncology can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mural Oncology will offset losses from the drop in Mural Oncology's long position.
The idea behind Merck Company and Mural Oncology plc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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