Correlation Between Morningstar Municipal and American Funds

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Morningstar Municipal and American Funds at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Morningstar Municipal and American Funds into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Morningstar Municipal Bond and American Funds Fundamental, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Morningstar Municipal and American Funds and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Morningstar Municipal with a short position of American Funds. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Morningstar Municipal and American Funds.

Diversification Opportunities for Morningstar Municipal and American Funds

0.06
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Morningstar and American is 0.06. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Morningstar Municipal Bond and American Funds Fundamental in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on American Funds Funda and Morningstar Municipal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Morningstar Municipal Bond are associated (or correlated) with American Funds. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of American Funds Funda has no effect on the direction of Morningstar Municipal i.e., Morningstar Municipal and American Funds go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Morningstar Municipal and American Funds

Assuming the 90 days horizon Morningstar Municipal Bond is expected to under-perform the American Funds. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Morningstar Municipal Bond is 3.31 times less risky than American Funds. The mutual fund trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The American Funds Fundamental is currently generating about 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  8,473  in American Funds Fundamental on September 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  546.00  from holding American Funds Fundamental or generate 6.44% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Morningstar Municipal Bond  vs.  American Funds Fundamental

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Morningstar Municipal 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Morningstar Municipal Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Morningstar Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
American Funds Funda 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Funds Fundamental are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, American Funds may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Morningstar Municipal and American Funds Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Morningstar Municipal and American Funds

The main advantage of trading using opposite Morningstar Municipal and American Funds positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Morningstar Municipal position performs unexpectedly, American Funds can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Funds will offset losses from the drop in American Funds' long position.
The idea behind Morningstar Municipal Bond and American Funds Fundamental pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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