Correlation Between Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Ultra-short-term

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Ultra-short-term at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Ultra-short-term into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Index and Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Ultra-short-term and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small-cap with a short position of Vanguard Ultra-short-term. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Ultra-short-term.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Ultra-short-term

0.84

Correlation Coefficient

Vanguard Small-cap  Vanguard Ultra-short-term

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is 0.84. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Index and Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Ultra-short-term and Vanguard Small-cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Ultra-short-term. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Ultra-short-term has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small-cap i.e., Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Ultra-short-term go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Ultra-short-term

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Small Cap Index is expected to generate 15.85 times more return on investment than Vanguard Ultra-short-term. However, Vanguard Small-cap is 15.85 times more volatile than Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond is currently generating about 0.17 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,780  in Vanguard Small Cap Index on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,639  from holding Vanguard Small Cap Index or generate 15.2% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	98.44%
Values	Daily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Index  vs.  Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond

Vanguard Small Cap

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Small-cap showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Vanguard Ultra-short-term

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Vanguard Ultra-short-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Ultra-short-term

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Ultra-short-term positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small-cap position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Ultra-short-term can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Ultra-short-term will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Ultra-short-term's long position.

The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Index and Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.