Correlation Between National Bank and McDonalds

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Bank and McDonalds at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Bank and McDonalds into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Bank Holdings and McDonalds, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Bank and McDonalds and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Bank with a short position of McDonalds. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Bank and McDonalds.

Diversification Opportunities for National Bank and McDonalds

0.38
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and McDonalds is 0.38. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Bank Holdings and McDonalds in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on McDonalds and National Bank is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Bank Holdings are associated (or correlated) with McDonalds. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of McDonalds has no effect on the direction of National Bank i.e., National Bank and McDonalds go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Bank and McDonalds

Assuming the 90 days horizon National Bank Holdings is expected to generate 2.27 times more return on investment than McDonalds. However, National Bank is 2.27 times more volatile than McDonalds. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. McDonalds is currently generating about 0.12 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,796  in National Bank Holdings on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  624.00  from holding National Bank Holdings or generate 16.44% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

National Bank Holdings  vs.  McDonalds

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Bank Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Bank Holdings are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, National Bank reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
McDonalds 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in McDonalds are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, McDonalds may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

National Bank and McDonalds Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National Bank and McDonalds

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Bank and McDonalds positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Bank position performs unexpectedly, McDonalds can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in McDonalds will offset losses from the drop in McDonalds' long position.
The idea behind National Bank Holdings and McDonalds pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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