Correlation Between National CineMedia and GMS

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National CineMedia and GMS at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National CineMedia and GMS into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National CineMedia and GMS Inc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National CineMedia and GMS and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National CineMedia with a short position of GMS. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National CineMedia and GMS.

Diversification Opportunities for National CineMedia and GMS

-0.02
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and GMS is -0.02. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National CineMedia and GMS Inc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on GMS Inc and National CineMedia is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National CineMedia are associated (or correlated) with GMS. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of GMS Inc has no effect on the direction of National CineMedia i.e., National CineMedia and GMS go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National CineMedia and GMS

Given the investment horizon of 90 days National CineMedia is expected to generate 1.15 times more return on investment than GMS. However, National CineMedia is 1.15 times more volatile than GMS Inc. It trades about -0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. GMS Inc is currently generating about -0.52 per unit of risk. If you would invest  691.00  in National CineMedia on September 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (43.00) from holding National CineMedia or give up 6.22% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

National CineMedia  vs.  GMS Inc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National CineMedia 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days National CineMedia has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong primary indicators, National CineMedia is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
GMS Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days GMS Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable primary indicators, GMS is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

National CineMedia and GMS Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National CineMedia and GMS

The main advantage of trading using opposite National CineMedia and GMS positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National CineMedia position performs unexpectedly, GMS can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in GMS will offset losses from the drop in GMS's long position.
The idea behind National CineMedia and GMS Inc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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