Correlation Between Near Term and Dow Jones

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Near Term and Dow Jones at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Near Term and Dow Jones into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Near Term Tax Free and Dow Jones Industrial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Near Term and Dow Jones and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Near Term with a short position of Dow Jones. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Near Term and Dow Jones.

Diversification Opportunities for Near Term and Dow Jones

0.26
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Near and Dow is 0.26. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Near Term Tax Free and Dow Jones Industrial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Dow Jones Industrial and Near Term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Near Term Tax Free are associated (or correlated) with Dow Jones. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Dow Jones Industrial has no effect on the direction of Near Term i.e., Near Term and Dow Jones go up and down completely randomly.
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Pair Corralation between Near Term and Dow Jones

Assuming the 90 days horizon Near Term is expected to generate 5.14 times less return on investment than Dow Jones. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Near Term Tax Free is 4.9 times less risky than Dow Jones. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating about 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,322,080  in Dow Jones Industrial on September 19, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  910,607  from holding Dow Jones Industrial or generate 27.41% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy99.8%
ValuesDaily Returns

Near Term Tax Free  vs.  Dow Jones Industrial

 Performance 
       Timeline  

Near Term and Dow Jones Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Near Term and Dow Jones

The main advantage of trading using opposite Near Term and Dow Jones positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Near Term position performs unexpectedly, Dow Jones can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dow Jones will offset losses from the drop in Dow Jones' long position.
The idea behind Near Term Tax Free and Dow Jones Industrial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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