Correlation Between Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial Services, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Northfield Bancorp with a short position of Orrstown Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial

0.93

Correlation Coefficient

Northfield Bancorp  Orrstown Financial

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Northfield and Orrstown is 0.93. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial Services in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Orrstown Financial and Northfield Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Northfield Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Orrstown Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Orrstown Financial has no effect on the direction of Northfield Bancorp i.e., Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Northfield Bancorp is expected to generate 1.5 times more return on investment than Orrstown Financial. However, Northfield Bancorp is 1.5 times more volatile than Orrstown Financial Services. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Orrstown Financial Services is currently generating about 0.19 per unit of risk. If you would invest  830.00  in Northfield Bancorp on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  508.00  from holding Northfield Bancorp or generate 61.2% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Northfield Bancorp  vs.  Orrstown Financial Services

Northfield Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northfield Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unsteady fundamental drivers, Northfield Bancorp disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Orrstown Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Orrstown Financial Services are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly conflicting basic indicators, Orrstown Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Pair Trading with Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Northfield Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Orrstown Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orrstown Financial will offset losses from the drop in Orrstown Financial's long position.

The idea behind Northfield Bancorp and Orrstown Financial Services pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.