Correlation Between Natural Gas and Brent Crude

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Natural Gas and Brent Crude at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Natural Gas and Brent Crude into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Natural Gas and Brent Crude Oil, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Natural Gas and Brent Crude and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Natural Gas with a short position of Brent Crude. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Natural Gas and Brent Crude.

Diversification Opportunities for Natural Gas and Brent Crude

-0.06

Correlation Coefficient

Natural Gas  Brent Crude

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Natural and Brent is -0.06. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Natural Gas and Brent Crude Oil in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Brent Crude Oil and Natural Gas is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Natural Gas are associated (or correlated) with Brent Crude. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Brent Crude Oil has no effect on the direction of Natural Gas i.e., Natural Gas and Brent Crude go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Natural Gas and Brent Crude

Assuming the 90 days horizon Natural Gas is expected to generate 2.38 times more return on investment than Brent Crude. However, Natural Gas is 2.38 times more volatile than Brent Crude Oil. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Brent Crude Oil is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  213.00  in Natural Gas on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  106.00  from holding Natural Gas or generate 49.77% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Natural Gas  vs.  Brent Crude Oil

Natural Gas

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Natural Gas are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Natural Gas exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Brent Crude Oil

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Brent Crude Oil has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Brent Crude is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Pair Trading with Natural Gas and Brent Crude

The main advantage of trading using opposite Natural Gas and Brent Crude positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Natural Gas position performs unexpectedly, Brent Crude can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Brent Crude will offset losses from the drop in Brent Crude's long position.

The idea behind Natural Gas and Brent Crude Oil pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.