Correlation Between Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Neste Oyj with a short position of Ultrapar Participacoes. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes.

Diversification Opportunities for Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes

0.73

Correlation Coefficient

Neste Oyj  Ultrapar Participacoes

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Neste and Ultrapar is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultrapar Participacoes and Neste Oyj is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Neste Oyj are associated (or correlated) with Ultrapar Participacoes. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultrapar Participacoes has no effect on the direction of Neste Oyj i.e., Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes

Assuming the 90 days horizon Neste Oyj is expected to generate 1.53 times more return on investment than Ultrapar Participacoes. However, Neste Oyj is 1.53 times more volatile than Ultrapar Participacoes SA. It trades about -0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ultrapar Participacoes SA is currently generating about -0.18 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,705  in Neste Oyj on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (310.00) from holding Neste Oyj or give up 18.18% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Neste Oyj  vs.  Ultrapar Participacoes SA

Neste Oyj

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Neste Oyj has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Ultrapar Participacoes

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Ultrapar Participacoes SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors.

Pair Trading with Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes

The main advantage of trading using opposite Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Neste Oyj position performs unexpectedly, Ultrapar Participacoes can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultrapar Participacoes will offset losses from the drop in Ultrapar Participacoes' long position.

The idea behind Neste Oyj and Ultrapar Participacoes SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.